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20130228
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CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 4:00am EST
a 500 pound settlement with u.s. and uk regulators later this week. rbs will cover the bonus pools after a warning from the government that taxpayers should not foot the bill. rbs is planning to float the 316 branches of santander it has so far failed to sell. according to the papers, an ipo would allow the bank to dispose of that unit cleanly. lots going on. we're pleased to be joined by michael brown. welcome. >> happy monday morning. >> i know you want to talk about the super bowl. >> well, that would be nice given i was up watching it. >> i'm impressed. i should have been up staying up all night. my sister lives in baltimore. >> there are plenty of bank stories to get to in the meantime. >> absolutely. >> we're going to hear from george osborne in just a couple on hours' time. what does this mean? >> the idea is, of course, that we should have capital in both parts. but the problem is, there isn't enough capital to go around and, therefore, you don't want to spook the financial markets by saying, by the way, yes, you do need to have this. how do we get to where we want to be, i.e. en
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 4:00am EST
-off. u.s. markets fell yesterday following the release of the fed minutes. it was the worst day of the year for the s&p and nasdaq. as you can see, shedding 108 points there, a rare triple digit decline this year. energy and material stocks were the worst hit. all ten s&p sectors did hit the day lower. volatility on the rise. the vix rose nearly 20% on this session. the sell-off has continued overnight. the shanghai composite, the australian markets taking it on the chin. will i sixuan joins us from singapore. >> thank you, kelly. fears of an early access by the fed rocks sentiment here in asia today. the nikkei pulls back 1.4% from its 52-month high. investors remain cautious ahead of the decision on the next boj chief. construction equipmentmakers were down after caterpillar reported slowing sales for the quarter ending january. but batterymaker gsyuasa reported a fix over long-term battery problems. the shanghai composite tumbled to 3% today. commodity place were under a lot of pressure today after the u.s. fomc minutes raised the possibility of a qe asset. development and ce
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 4:00am EST
shut for the chinese new year and large parts of the u.s. struggling with extreme weather. >> digging out from nemo, residents and u.s. businesses hope to resume to normal business after mother nature dumped nearly three feet of snow in some areas. >>> and ben affleck's iran hostage drama "argo" picks up the best film accolade. daniel day-lewis wins best actor. >>> we're up for another week. we might do what they did and share the love around. >> i read the reports. we're going to talk about it later. there was no one dominant film. >> i thought it was interesting that "argo" won best picture? it was a great movie, but best movie? really? is that the -- >> "lincoln" only got -- sometimes they're quite clued up. the nominations were very similar. do you think lincoln would do better than it did. >> daniel day-lewis picked up an award. help recap for those of us who didn't catch the whole thing or any of it, frankly, but yeah, britain's big film night. now it's time for the u.s. in a couple of weeks. >> besides that, plenty of other things we're looking at today. another day, another su
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 4:00pm EST
of the world, europe, still very slow, but china a bit of a rebound, and, maria, the u.s. doing okay. again, hewlett-packard better than anticipated. >> all right, david, thank you. stay right there. we're going to bring in david garrity and roger kay of end point technologies associates. good to see everybody. thanks for joining us. want to point out aig numbers are also out, and i want to tell our viewers that there is stock to buy in aig after the close tonight. just spoke with the market-maker there, so we're watching that story as well as this story. hewlett-packard though is the focus right now. david garrity, what's your take on the quarter? >> the earnings multiple for the company, single digits, a five handle. i mean, here's a company. it's great and wonderful that they are doing better in terms of businesses that are losing share in the overall computing market, and it's thighs to see that they are getting some positive margin surprises, but the fact of the matter is hewlett-packard was initially thought to be an innovator and what we see out of corner, fine, we can rearrange the
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 1:00pm EST
, a lot of people are forgetting, they have around $137 in cash and equivalents. the stuff not in the u.s. is really difficult for apple to repay tree ought without a big penalty. we are talking in the neighborhood of $40 billion. it seems like from what apple put out in the statement last week, they are planning to do some sort of extra thing beyond their announced dividend. but it is a smaller pile of cash than people talk about. >> let me bring in molly woo had from c-net. do you they they get in terms of how shareholders are feeling a the moment and how do you think he will respond? >> tim cook has been an executive who is very plug need wall street and move of shareholders. i think that he, possibly more than steve jobs would have, is probably sympathetic to the shareholders and will offer a bonus or something to keep them happy. >> is that enough, though, is the issue. >> exactly. >> the expectations are very high, such as complacency. >> i think that expectations are always high for apple. so there is a very good chance that shareholders will be disappointed. apple has always been
CNBC
Feb 24, 2013 11:00pm EST
electric power on the u.s. east cost, maybe the west coast, and attempt to cause a cascading effect. all of those things are in the art of the possible from a sophisticated attacker. >> do you believe our adversaries have the capability of bringing down a power grid? >> i do. >> is the u.s. prepared for such an attack? >> no, the united states is not prepared for such an attack. >> it's now clear this cyber threat is one of the most serious economic and national security challenges we face as a nation. >> four months after taking office, president obama made those concerns part of our national defense policy, declaring the country's digital infrastructure a strategic asset, and confirming that cyber warfare had moved beyond theory. >> we know that cyber intruders have probed our electrical grid, and that in other countries cyber attacks have plunged entire cities into darkness. >> president obama didn't say which country had been plunged into darkness, but a half a dozen sources in the military, intelligence, and private security communities have told us the president was referring to br
CNBC
Feb 7, 2013 3:00pm EST
in the market for a while. people know about it, and the reality is that in the u.s. specifically we see economic activity improving in the future and improving more than expectations and a big driver of that is the housing market. housing drives consumption and housing prices are going from linear to parabolic which gives the consumer more power to purchase. >> rick santelli, jump in here for a minute because we're trying to figure out if in fact we are seeing this trade out of fixed income, into stocks, not necessarily happening today, but do you have any read in terms of if this is an actual trend happening? >> well, i think when i look at treasuries, i see we're only up 19 basis points on the year in 10s. i don't think it's an issue. i don't see this impending huge selloff in treasuries. listen to the dovishness in europe with regard to a variety of issues, not the least of which is they are worried about a high euro and growth in some of the southern countries. >> yeah. what did you -- >> i do see it playing out in high yield and corporates. quickly if you look at barclays, one-mont
CNBC
Feb 18, 2013 4:00am EST
street or for the u.s. a main street brand. but they have this great digital fashion thing going on. it's a gimmicky partnership with google. you see these reports about google getting the lines between fashion and retail and tech are all blurring. >> they are, indeed. so on today's show, there's a -- here is another taster. in china, it's the first trading day market in the new year of the snake. so will it be new year old problems? up next from hong kong, we'll have the latest analysis. >> did you just slither? also, the final week of campaigning in italy ahead of the general elections. we will be live in milan throughout the morning for a roundup of the candidates policies and pit falls. julia will join us for that. >>> and hear state from the finance ministers. we have a roundup of the g-20 meeting in moscow. >> and london fashion week is under way and international expansion seems to be the latest trend. we'll hear from top designers who are putting their foot forward on the global runway. >>> first, standard & poors says it wants more time to gauge shinzo abe's rating policies. s&
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 5:00pm EST
domestically with the three u.s. partners, so, 4-x opportunity there. but the per capita income china, 2,000 versus $50,000 in the u.s., so, the affordability just isn't what it is in the u.s. coupled on the fact that carrier subdies are much lower typically abroad, as well. so, we think apple needs to bring in a half price phone, a $300 wholesale phone for the international markets and if they can do it and it's an be interesting form factor, that could accelerate earnings. until then, it's going to be difficult for them. >> brian, can we say good-bye for good to the days where apple was, in fact, a growth stock and had the high rates of growth? is that completely a thing of the past, now that it's sharing its shareholder base? this doesn't sound like the apple of the days of yore, so, maybe $700, we won't see that for a long time? >> it brings a tear to my eye to say so, but i think that's correct, yeah. ultimately, you know, always the first question, or, if you go back to a marketing meeting with an investor a year or two ago, first question, apple. it's typically about, what's the p
CNBC
Feb 20, 2013 5:00pm EST
know, that's been the big overriding bullish theme, not only in the u.s. we have japan piling on. we've got europe, maybe, you know, getting in on the act. so, this record global liquidity has been pushing investors into riskier assets. and even though today is not, you know, a death knell for qe, it certainly gives people the sense that there's a little bit more disagreement on the committee than maybe people realized. we're starting to see more vocal concerns about the qe that's going on, and the conditions around unwinding it. so, i think that coupled with the fact that we had one of the most overbought markets in recent memory, i don't think you can be too surprised by the big pull back here. >> what's your bottom line directional view of the market at this point in time? is it lower? >> we think -- we've been saying that we thought we'd get back to 1550, 1575, retest of the all-time highs and then we were looking at a pull-back from that level. it may be that was too aggressive and that pull-back's already begun. bull our core view is that this is just going to be a pull-back. w
CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 1:00pm EST
and spain, to a lesser extent. i would say the declines in the u.s., fairly modest. given that we moved a thousand point in the month of january. >> kenny was here, director of floor with securities. >> we haven't even traded 300 million shares down here today. that's relatively weak. but you made the point. we were up almost 7% year to date. so off a half percent or three quarters percent is not a reason for anyone to panic but a sense the market was exhausted like we been talking about and that in fact maybe it will test the 1475 level for support on the s&p because it was such a tough level to get through on the way up. >> on the way up. >> let's listen to what les had to say because he is longer term bullish and maybe this entry point. take a look. >> this is a crisis for another crisis. we look at again, the market from a cycle of viewpoint, when have you market that started the way this did, consolidated very nicely. now have you exuberant phase, again, i'm still comfortable saying at some point this year, at least 55% possibility. >> all right. 1600 is what he is looking for. is
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 12:00pm EST
dollar and a strong u.s. economic recovery. that's what i'm looking for. again, i think if oil comes down, that would perpetuate it. >> keith, if you're saying buy stocks now, what's the time frame you're talking about? you could change in a couple of days based on what you're seeing in the market. what should people take from your comments? >> we change our view every other minute. >> i was trying to be nice. >> if you're a long-term viewer and taking a short-term ride -- i'm agnostic on the situation. now you're oversold, you buy them today, you sold them tuesday and you smile along the way. if you fundamentally believe the world is going to end because gold, oil and copper is going down, then i think you're going to have more issues than i'm going to have going down that road. i think these are the causal factors that could get the economy to recover sustainably. >> dennis, last word to you. >> i won't argue. the market is telling me right now that i'm right. the market is saying you've done the right thing by moving to the sidelines. i'll let the market tell me when i'm wrong. but rig
CNBC
Feb 8, 2013 9:00am EST
from the new york stock exchange. let's see how your friday session is setting up on the u.s. futures. it looks like we'll have a positive session with the s&p looking at 2 at the open, dow looking at 13. in europe, the eu summit continues. but the action really taking its cues from china this morning. we have green arrows across the board in europe. take a look at asia. strong eco data out of china in focus. much more on that in just a moment. the road map begins at the golden arches. not even the cheddar onion burgers could help mcdonald's. they missed estimates in every region. asia was down a whopping 9.5%. >> exports boomed 25%, inflation cooled, but met expectations, capping off a two-week winning streak for stocks. >> a blowout quarter, users increase continued in momentum. >> the storm could be one for the record books. forecast calling for as much as 2 1/2 feet of snow in some parts of the northeast. already more than 3,700 flights have been canceled. we'll get more from the weather channel on the path of nemo. >>> mcdonald's down 1.9 in january. middle east and africa, europ
CNBC
Feb 25, 2013 3:00pm EST
're long-term investors. we oversee one of the largest corporate pension plans in the u.s. as well as the mutual fund complex. that's all summarized with $12 billion in assets. i can tell you that they're the most optimistic we've seen them. >> whether or not they count longer tell. when you see the s&p hold the 1,500 mark. that attracts investors for a longer term. >> it does. but that's not where we're really seeing the excitement from the professional investors. we're seeing that in the fundamentals of the market. they believe that you're well compensated for taking equity risk at this point in time. the earning yielding with the dividend yield, the payout yield on the s&p 500 is at or near 25-year highs. and if it were my money and it is, at least some of it, i'm betting on equities. >> all right. rick santelli, tell us about your view of the market action today. especially as we watch these italian elections which we will get to. michelle caruso-cabrera will join us with the latest there. but a strong dollar and the 10-year yield down sharply in terms of getting out of its tra
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 1:00pm EST
and operates car dealerships, u.s. locations mostly in metropolitan areas in 15 states. reported fourth quarter epps of $0.70. the street wanted to see a $1.19. company ceo talking about strong growth in the fourth quarter, 19% revenue growth. he also said missed some opportunities to maximize profits via complete leveraging of cost structuring. investors unhappy with that miss, stock down 7.5%. josh, back to you. >> thank you so much. einhorn and apple taking their fight to court over return of cash to apple shareholders. the stock down again today and apple lost about 20% of its market value over the past three months. kate kelly is at the courthouse for us in new york city. kate. >> reporter: thanks, tyler. we're just about an hour away from what could be a contentious courtroom showdown, einhorn, founder and apple, inc. they are duking it out over a proposal in the proxy statement that would do away with charter right to issue preferred shares of stock. einhorn seeking an injunction to block the vote on that measure at apple's meeting february 27 wants apple to issue a class of shares to pr
CNBC
Feb 22, 2013 6:00am EST
along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. keeping an eye on the u.s. equity foourchs, well, after a couple of days of declines, dow futures are up significantly this morning. that's a gain of 50 points above fair value. the s&p 500 is opening up by about 6 points and this comes after two days of declines and a lot of questions about whether this rally has tapped out, at least for the moment. among the key market drivers this week, the fed and the conversation continues today. boston fed president eric rosengren and fed governor jerome powell will be speaking at a forum in new york. you don't have to wait until then to get inside scoop on the central bank. james bullard will be our special ges guest, with us starting at 7:00 a.m. eastern time, and this is huge given all the news from the fed this week and all the questions the market has been asking. the two-days of declines we've seen in the markets has pretty much all been blamed on the markets that we got a couple of days ago. we will talk to jim about everything that was happening inside the room and try to get his take to wher
CNBC
Feb 6, 2013 9:00am EST
're seeing red arrows on the board. most notably the euro hitting a one-week low against the u.s. dollar. in asia, china up eighth straight session. nikkei highest level since september of 2008. disney set to open at record highs. strength in media networks. word that it's planning films based on "star wars" characters. >>> zynga, revenues continue to fall and the social gaming company said 2013 would be profitable. >>> company seeing momentum in america's improvement in europe and big margin gains for 2013 for ralph lauren. >>> the post office could be eliminating or cutting back deliveries on saturday. we'll explain. they carry the official announcement at 10:00 a.m. this morning. >>> we start with disney. shares rising pre-market, set to open at all-time highs at fiscal fourth quarter profits beat the markets. growing attendance at the theme parks. real news came during bob iger's interview with our own julia boorstin. >> in fact, we are working on a few stand-alone films. larry kazden and simon ginberg are working on films derived on "star wars" characters that are not part of the ov
CNBC
Feb 14, 2013 9:00am EST
, art, certainly we have a lot of deals going on. the biggest month for u.s. deals since june 2008. it's the gdps around the world putting a wrempbl into futures this morning. >> particularly in europe, shares of gdp reports knocked europe for a tailspin here. not too much valentine's day cheer showing up. so far beginning to look like the dow has given up rallying for lent. let's hope that doesn't continue. >> lent is a long time so let's hope not. in terms of the g-20, it's sort of a photo-op and that's it. is it much more important this time around as there's so many statements regarding currency manipulation being bandied about, having an impact on currency market and equity markets. >> you're absolutely correct. it went from g 7 comments to possibly right on the main table. g-20 meeting. the thrust is the end. how do we keep this orderly and prevent an outright currency war from breaking out. we've got a lot of american message fund players going along. half the world appears to be short the end believing this is going on. >> a longtime strategy to a certain extent, worries about
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 3:00pm EST
. is the consumer in the same field of flowers and unicorns and daisies that the u.s. equity investor is in? i think that's probably what we're going to see. >> already we're not seeing a lot of alternatives for folks' money other than stocks because of the low rate environment. andrew, how are you investing right now? >> well, we're probably going to go ahead and move in this market. looks like the pullback is more likely 1650 back to these levels. so more than likely now is probably the time to ease into the market. you've got tremendous momentum and breath here. you're fighting the tape, as they say. this is probably the time to deploy. >> meanwhile, rick santelli, the race to the bottom of the currency markets was interrupted today. horror of horrors. japanese officials saying they don't want the currency to go much lower. and the euro moving higher as well today. >> once you put that machine in motion, i don't know if you can stop it. and bill, i find it so telling you have so much more outrage about a maker's mark liquidity injection than the fed's liquidity injections. >> what's your point? >
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 9:00am EST
. some of them are interesting. high volatility u.s. large caps and micro cap stocks. it would seem you're increasing the beta place. when you say u.s. large cap volatile stocks, what do you mean by that? >> well, we believe that there's an evolution in the asset classes that investors are going to be tapping into in the next decade. you know, if you look back over the last 20 years, people spent a lot of time arguing, what was the value stock, what was a growth stock. and a lot of times it was in the eye of the beholder. volatility is a much more objective mesh yasure of what a stock is. you can do very good long term, 80 and 90-year analysis of what this asset class means. and right now, we show high volatility stocks have been beaten down very, very much in the rally, relative to low volatility, sort of bond proxy stocks. that suggests to us that they're one of the best opportunities in the market, as we stabilize, as the fed keeps pushing in liquidity. i think you're going to see a return to those kinds of beaten-down names. >> you know, michael, one of the big talkers of the mornin
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 6:00am EST
's the higher end of walmart's previously issued guidance range. the world's largest retailer forecast, the u.s. key same-store sales to grow between 1% and 3%. last year's fourth quarter grew 1.5 year over year. but beyond financials, investors will look into possible investigations. there hasn't been a clear timeline as to when the investigation results will be released from the allegations that walmart issued millions of dollars in bribes to officials in mexico. if you remember, it was last quarter that walmart stated an s.e.c. filings that they have expanded those investigations beyond just mexico and to brazil, china and india. >> you know, this is going to be a fascinating story today. we heard about these leaked memos. walmart knocking it down saying things were taken out of context. i saw something overnight from the nrf, national retail federation where they said something like six out of ten americans say their savings and their budgeting has been somewhat or greatly impacted by the changes in the taxes that kicked in at the beginning of the year. >> and i think it's interesting becau
CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 9:00am EST
, back to you. >> thank you very much, simon hobbs. let's see how this is all going to impact the u.s. session here. we have the head of u.s. equity and quantitative strategy with bank of america, merrill lynch. nice to see you. >> nice to see you, too. thank you for having me on. >> we've been able to put europe on the back burner, but right now it might bring back bad memory for investors that this is exactly what derailed us a year ago. >> it's eerily similar. you know, i think, though, that the big surprise for the u.s. equity market is that we might not see a pullback. i feel like everyone's expecting one. and we might not actually see one. for a bunch of reasons. i mean, last year, i think one thing that was a little bit different was that sentiment was not as negative as it was at this point, where we are today. if you look at wall street strategists, equity allocation is still sub 50%. you've still got a lot of strategists with price targets below where the market is today. i feel like a lot of investors have regarded this rally that we've seen so far as, you know, too far, to
CNBC
Feb 11, 2013 6:00am EST
on the docket. it hasn't fallen apart like everybody want thad to. here we sit in the u.s. with everybody is buying hand over fist. i've been doing it a long time and i'm still conflicted. i know these corporations have been showing better results. but at the end of the day, we still have qe because of no growth. >> rebecca patterson would tell you you have just enough growth, actually, you have a wonderful spot where it's just weak enough where the fed keeps their foot on the pedal and that's why it's the perfect moment, at least now, for the market. >> i guess it's that little circle we used to have on our baseball bats. we have to be careful about that thing cracking in half. that's what i think a sweet spot is. here we are, you have a 7.9% rate. i can debate all long about whether the housing market is getting better or not. that's the reason why we have this influx of qe. why would we be without qe? ultimately, it's all about growth and we just don't have it. here we go, the stocks are full steam ahead. i can't tell my customers not be on board, but i can tell them not the be on boar
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 6:00pm EST
hook you. from that morning on, u.s. like paying your cable bill. something you have to have. remember that, cut the cord? no one is cutting the time' cord. they made it interactive enough, it's tv like. lots of video content. enkik lopedic. and they could charge a fortune for online real estate ads some of much real estate in the best market in the world is actually sold right through them. wait until they listen to me tonight and then switch to that model. probably will happen. i think the subscription price might be far more inelastic than i thought or they thought. i don't know a soul that wouldn't pay more rather than lose it. this company has been paring down noncore assets for some time in august, they sold about.com and got $300 million for it. they are in good enough shape cash wise there is the possibility of a dividend. that was the hint in the conference call. one more thing, this story is back stopped. now that the times is selling the globe, the company could ultimately bought by a soon to be retired mayor bloomberg. someone that the family would bless as an owner. like w
CNBC
Feb 7, 2013 1:00pm EST
last year and they will be paying out the vast majority of their u.s. free cash flow this year in the form of dividends to the common shareholders and buy backs. look, i think the preferred stock idea is is a really interesting idea. i haven't seen other companies use it, but this may be interesting for a lot of other companies sitting in a lot of ksh and preferred shareholders value dividend much higher than common shareholders, it kind of makes sense. >> why do you think, tavis, that apple sits on so much cash. it is a derivative of a very strong business but they can't be earning much money on that cash. they sit on it. they are not doing a lot of deals. >> look, the bigger issue is u.s. tax policy. 68% of that cash is sitting overseas and to bring that back and give it back to shareholders, requires them not only to pay a tax but also very likely requires tlem to restate their income tax rates in terms of gap accounting which lowers their earnings. so this is not an apple specific issue. it is across the tech industry broadly. and if somebody can can figure out how to unloc
CNBC
Feb 1, 2013 1:00pm EST
. ty? >> sue, thank you. worried about the ever expanding u.s. budget. then stick around. when we come back, an exclusive interview with the fix the debt co-chairs. john harwood is sitting down with the two at the conference in san diego. meanwhile, as we head out, take a look at wal-mart shares, since the dow peaks back in october of '07. there you see it. this is $100,000. we asked total strangers to watch it for us. thank you so much. i appreciate it. i'll be right back. they didn't take a dime. how much in fees does your bank take to watch your money? if your bank takes more money than a stranger, you need an ally. ally bank. your money needs an ally. [ dog barks ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] something powerful is coming. ♪ see it on february 3rd. ♪ all stations come over to mithis is for real this time. step seven point two one two. verify and lock. command is locked. five seconds. three, two, one. standing by for capture. the most innovative software on the planet... dragon is captured. is connecting today's leading companies to places beyond it. siemens. answers. >>> it is on
CNBC
Feb 6, 2013 5:00pm EST
so, a harty congratulations goes out tonight to the u.s. postal service, whiches is trying to keep up with the times in the 21st century and the age of the internet. much has been said about the news today that the post office plans to eliminate letter deliveries on saturdays. that move estimates to save some $2 billion a year. it's a start. but let's not forget that last year, the post office lost $16 billion. i understand the reaction is mixed on this. many people will be inconvenienced without mail on saturday. but any kind of kuchlts will, of course, inconvenience some. but the troubling aspect of all of this is who some of the loudest nay sayers of this move are. name little our lawmakers. sadly, this is the one lawmaker where there seems to be support. republican senator susan collins saying cuts services should be a last resort. democratic snoshg mark begich says it was a bad news. these are, of course, the same people who need to get serious about government spending, before america has a true crisis. what the post office is doing is what any business would do. they are loo
CNBC
Feb 7, 2013 12:00pm EST
in investment grade corporate bonds, u.s., and obviously junk right alongside of that. it's gotten the attention of equity guys. so it's certainly something that's note anl. what do you make of that? how should we think of that? is that really chicken equity people just switching sides or not necessarily? >> well, i wish i knew. it's easiest to track with the mutual fund flows and day to day with the etf flows. you can see the money going from bonds, particularly high yield, towards stocks. there can be day to day blips in that, and it's hard to draw trend lines with etfs because so many people, apart from your normal etf buyers, use them now to adjust their positions. >> right. >> and that makes it tricky. if this guess about the future is anywhere close to right, you take precautions now. you adjust the bond portfolio. it's not the end of the world for bonds. if you're in a 30-year treasury at zero, yes, it is. but you can adjust to deal with the first cycle of this quite well. it's not a biggy. the second cycle, now at that point, out five years or so, then you're talking about more serious s
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 9:00am EST
. in mexico, there's a walmart and you always remember the global reach. but it is still very much a u.s.-based company. we are exporting a lot of gasoline to other countries because, like the mismatch of where the oil is versus the refiners are, there's a tremendous mismatch of where the refiners are versus where both coasts we need refined products. so it is a degree of art fishlty. it's funny because it comes at a time when people are thinking about the keystone pipeline. these are different issues. and the keystone pop line obviously brings oil, not refined product. but when you see all that refined product going overseas that we make, there should be a bit of outrage. you don't know who who to direct it to. the president right now is not a friend of fossil fuels. >> today in the journal, arguing that he might say yes to keystone. so that trend could change. but on the consumer, january numbers for retailers in general were pretty good, shortened month, though. >> many people don't get their paychecks until the end of the month. maybe walmart internal e-mail, you know, that certainly
CNBC
Feb 7, 2013 6:00am EST
. welcome to sidewalk. as we can see here, and i feel like the weather girl, but u.s. equity futures are feeling slightly higher today. we have a couple of quarterly results hitting the tape in the last few minutes. cigna reporting earnings and revenues ahead of estimates. earnings topping estimates by a nickel. we're going to continue to follow both of those stories for you this morning. scotty, back over to you. some mandy, thanks so much. now over to the weather channel. eric fisher joining us to talk about this major winter storm heading our way. good morning. >> this could be one for the record becomes here over the next couple of days. it starts in the midwest. not to ignore what's going on here across michigan, wisconsin. chicago, sleeting rain, sleet this morning, a bust of snow this evening. biggest snow totals, eastern michigan. the bull's eye is right around sagin saginaw. so difficult travel there. the cold air and this slipper moving through the states. then we've got the rain across the south. that's ingredient number two. area of low pressure there that keeps a wet day
CNBC
Feb 22, 2013 9:00am EST
or get out of u.s. stocks, are they going to regret making that call at this point? >> i think those days are kind of over. we're not going to nationalize the banking system. the center will hold. this is not 1933, '34, where fdr comes in and he's worried about the left, he's worried about the right. we did have that feeling in 2008, 2009. those days of 100% cash, that's for traders, it's not for the people at home. >> not practical. >> no. >> can you imagine calling, i want to go -- all the cash right now, sell it all. >> listen, you've only missed your -- the dow at 6780 and you go 100% stock? you can do that. it's called whip saw. buy high, selling low. >> the last couple of days there was certainly a feeling in the market that we were perhaps on the cusp of this bigger pullback, and the s&p right now is still above 1,500. the dow is only 50 points or so away from the 14,000 level. >> right. >> yet again. it shows you, you need to temper all of these quick decisions that people so want to make. >> things are mixed. today i feel people say the sequester's off. look, i think it's not as
CNBC
Feb 12, 2013 12:00pm EST
% for smartphones. the developed markets like the u.s., over 60% of subscribers own smartphones. you have a long way to go before you have a problem. >> don't forget the tablet market. qualcomm is looking for 650 million tablets in 2016. you look at their presentation, growth is really going strong. maybe it won't be 50 or 200% but more than enough strong. then, there is the upgrade cycle. that's a ludicrous report by jpmorga jpmorgan. >> a quick comment from jon fortt, that comment from the analyst that downgraded qualcomm doesn't jive with what we heard by tim cook by any stretch of the imagination where he thinks the smartphone market is going. >> qualcomm announced they're coming out with a lower end chip to address emerging markets up to this point they have been weak and important to get that off the grown and emerging markets like china coming through with networks and qualcomm has a greater growth to tackle that than even apple. >>> barclays is trading higher today after announcing a restructuring plan to cut $2.7 billion in annual cost. the stock is getting a huge bump, 8.5%. >> huge mover
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 12:00pm EST
% of their store base is outside the u.s. yeah, i'm a little concerned about the memo that was leaked out that came out last week about february being terrible, but we don't know how january was. at 12.5 tiermes earnings, i don regard the stock as expensive. >> we played walmart to the long side last year. there was this massive 12-year resistance level that it broke out above. turns out that was a fall breakout. this thing is not ready to go. the risk is obviously to the down side. anyone with a remedial sense of resistance can see. you may end up being right but no one wants to own a big, fat gigantic stock like this with no upside catalyst with a weak dividend. >> but if you do have a rough economy, will you see see them trade downhill. cost co is at 20 times earnings and target -- >> what about the memo? you seem to be a little dismissive of the memo. >> i'm not dismissive of it. i just don't know all the facts. >> no one does and in the absence of the fact, the stock will be in the penalty box. >> the memo is out there. it can't be as bad as what the memo is, right? >> not true. it could be wo
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 3:00pm EST
's big merger news that included american airlines, u.s. airways and h.j. heinz. the wheels continue to turn. >> really do. we'll talk about deals. one of the big deal-makers on the show today. don't look now, but $5 gas is becoming a reality in one part of the country. we'll talk about whether spiking gasoline prices to be the big threat to the economy right now. >> i knew i should have filled up yesterday. this is going to keep going up. a pair of big earnings coming your way at the top of the hour. dell and herbalife both set to report. we'll have instant analysis of all those numbers right here on the "closing bell." >> before all that, let's check the markets here as we approach this final hour for the day. the dow jones industrial average up 45 points. just shy of the high of the day. about a third of the% higher at 13,426. nasdaq also strong and technology one of the winners. certainly the nasdaq up a half a percent and the s&p 500 looks like this. take a look. similar chart pattern, just shy of the high of the gain with a gain on the standard & poor's of nine points. >> the s
CNBC
Feb 20, 2013 9:00am EST
at the new york stock exchange. the day after we broke a lot of records for the u.s. markets, we're looking at an update for the dow. the s&p looking to give back just a little bit, along with the nasdaq. as for the picture over in europe, some comments from germans chancellor angela merkel about the euro saying between 130 and 140 for the u.s. dollar is normal. those are the comments being focused on this morning. a mixed bag in terms of europe and take a look at the picture in asia. the nikkei, the one to focus on, closing at a 4 1/2-year high in yesterday's session. >> fresh five-years for the s&p and dow, fresh 12 years for the nasdaq, helped in part by a renewed appetite for deal making. >> cracks in the housing picture this morning, january starts to decline 8 1/2%. toll brother earnings sharply miss earnings. >> could demand for the iphone be cooling? fox con pressuring shares this morning. >>> the rally continuing with the dow and s&p having their best day in two weeks. nasdaq closing at 12-year highs. dow less than 130 points from closing at an all-time high. guys, a lot of discuss
CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 3:00pm EST
of the u.s. government back in the summer of 2011. is it political payback? they're at least asking the question. s&p has gotten ahead of the u.s. government by putting out its own press release saying it would be without factual or legal merit for the doj to sue. as we previously also reported, there were at least -- there was a desire on the part of the doj to get at least a billion dollar settlement and admission of guilt from s&p to drop the charges. s&p said no thank you. it would be a long time until we go to court, but this is an interesting potential case and certainly an important news story that is having significant pressure on both mcgraw-hill stock price and interestingly on that of moody's despite according to our sources there does not seem to be a case mounted against moody's president . at least at this point. >> selling off just in case though. >> absolutely. we're looking at the stock markets reaction. stay right there. we want to get reaction from brian belski and bob pisani. what about this? when you see a move like this in these stocks while we're waiting. what
CNBC
Feb 22, 2013 1:00pm EST
didn't expect to see. a tb outbreak in the united states. how big a risk is it for the u.s. in 2013? there are some drug resistant strains making their way around the world in this very infectious disease. it is happening now. make sure you are safe. that's all in the next 59 minutes. simon hobbs is my partner today. he is in for sue. >> let's focus on the economic signs today. the drop took us from record highs, let's not forget. was it the correction that so many people have warned us about? right now, you can see, we are just about to retake on this bounce, it would appear, dow down. s&p, 1513. also higher on oil but we've lost a lot this week. gold, as you can see, 1572. still way below the $1600 level. that market bouncing back clearly, sign number one, for investors heading into the weekend. sign number two comes from europe. european commission very negative on the country's economic prospects for the year. they say you will barely grow for the whole of the 27 nation eu. they will contract again in 2013. sign number three provided by the federal reserve bank of st. louis, jam
CNBC
Feb 27, 2013 12:00pm EST
in. i like u.s. equities, i like emerging market equities and if you're going to be in thick income, be on the credit side. i look at what zbois going on i the united states with corporate america sitting there with a cash on their balance sheets and think we're poised to do well for the next couple of years. >> why do you see growth improving overseas? we know china may be coming back but they're flooding their system with the shadow banking, so their leverage increased dramatically. in europe, the growth has gone the other way. it has declined and worsened there. >> i don't view europe as emerging markets are much more interesting. china, it seems to have stabilized. it had been an area of concern. i don't think it is going to surge tremendously, i think they have it under control which is a plus. i think other parts of the emerging markets are looking pretty corrective as well. >> are you at all worried that italy could upset the view and the direction of the market, at least in the near term? >> in the near term, yes. it feels like every spring we have forgotten about italy for
CNBC
Feb 1, 2013 12:00pm EST
effort by the fed the bank of england, bank of japan, all bad for the long end of the u.s. yield curve. pimco is avoiding longer data issues beyond ten years. we'd rather stick to the five to ten-year part of the yield curve. >> you paint a scenario in which somebody watching would say well that is exactly the scenario i see if i think the stock market is going to go noticeably higher and yet you guys aren't looking for double digit gains this year for the dow. >> this is also a relative gain. there are better opportunities we think where you're safer and there is the potential for volatility still because of macro risks of course. and to see stocks continue moving upward reminds us that the financial market performance is continuing to diverge from economic performance. the employment report while good is still not great. we want to monitor to the extent to which markets move away from the way economies perform because that will set up dangers in the future. >> you have to admit, the economy save for the shockingly disappointing gdp report seems to be performing better whether it's co
CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 5:00pm EST
the u.s. markets, you still found value here to play. >> absolutely, no doubt. all you have to do is go back to friday, the job numbers, we wiped out friday with today. it's basically a doefrover right now. plenty of opportunities. i think we are all looking for the best opportunities in the marketplace today. i still look at some of those names and the names i found are names performing already, at 52-week highs. >> the mow mmentum trades in th market. >> yeah. >> the biggest bull on the street in 2012, but where does he see the markets going in 2013? let's welcome barry bannister. barry, great to see you once again. >> yes, thank you. >> you see -- s&p 500, 1600. how will we get there? >> well, that was our target since may 29th. we thought we'd hit it in '12. we pushed it into the first half of '13. it's p.e. expansion on the more cyclical parts of the economy. if you look at energy materials, industrials, officialfinancials trade at lower p.e.s, and we think it's not that bad. >> once we hit 1600, barry, you think that is going to be the top in the markets for 2013, is that correct?
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 5:00pm EST
, a bar chart of the u.s. comp store sales. for a long time, walmart had been dead money for ten years. this is what's happening in 2012 for quarterly same-store sales. and you can see the trend is a downward trend. this is exactly what happened when the stock was in its doldrums, in its slumber for that ten-year period. >> i hope the employment picks up and that would turn that around a little bit. the other is, remember, walmart is a huge ex-u.s. story. this is only part of the story. so, you know, there is a lot of growth out there that is not u.s. that is very significant to walmart. it does move the needle. >> mike khouw, where do you fall on walmart? >> i think walmart is a fair value story right here. it's a low beta name. if we have a market pull-back, that's going to be helpful. it got ahead of itself last october and started to price like it was going to have more significant growth. i hear what karen is saying, there is an international growth story, but this is seeing top line and eps growth year on year of 5% and probably not going to see better than that. and this is real
CNBC
Feb 8, 2013 6:00am EST
guy, but his tempo is still the way it was when he won those u.s. opens. i make him -- with my tempo, i say, just turn around, he'll quit the game if he watches me too closely. anyway, i know we want to get to our newsmaker this morning. carol bartz will be here, perhaps best known for speaking her mind. and this is true. in some colorful tones once in a while. so we'll look forward to talking with her about everything from yahoo! to apple to some of the big issues coming out of washington. and we're going to hear from at&t's ceo randall stephenson. and telecom industry veteran dave doorman, now the nonexecutive chairman of cvs caremark. plus, joining us live this hour, shawn carolyn. he was one of the first investor s for siri. i got up at 2:40 because i thought i had to be here at 4:00. >> because you can't do math and you didn't do the time change correctly. >> exactly. i did shower a little last night after the round. >> thank goodness. >> i made et here. >> and running through the rain to get over here without an umbrella. by the time i left, it was like, i'm not going back. >>
CNBC
Feb 21, 2013 9:00am EST
for q 1. also disclosed that u.s. sales picked up last when the tax refund checks started flowing. i think there is light at the end of the tunnel from that comment, particularly when you think about the other tax hurdles that customers are facial and higher gas price. >> what is puzzling, i read the line about the pickup and activity because of the tax refund checks, yes, seeing that pickup in activity in the past week or so but yet they are sticking to the guidance for the current quarter, which is still below wall street consensus estimates. then you add to -- add to that the fact that the past ten ten quarters, nine out of the ten quarters, inventories outpaced sales then a streak of declining flat same store sales numbers and you think back to the walmart when the stock did nothing for ten years r we at that point now, matt? >> i think that's great point about the tax refund activity you why don't we pick up that the rest of the quarter and i think the response to that would be, look, when people were getting those checks in january, they would go out and buy a new tv for the su
CNBC
Feb 12, 2013 9:00am EST
's based on a movie called turbo opening in july, and it will debut in december in the u.s. and 40 countries around the world. in addition to this deal for the new original series, dreamworks animations movies starting with those that are coming out this year, will be available, made available to u.s. netflix subscribers. this is a very big deal for netflix as it doubles down on the content in kids' content. paying for premium shows with a big name creator. this is also a win for dreamworks animation, generates an additional revenue stream, should help them balance out their sort of bumpy earnings results. we don't know the financial terms of this deal, but it can't be cheap for netflix. it could cost dreamworks animation hundreds of millions of dollars to create their films. later this morning, melissa, we'll be talking to netflix's top officer, and we'll also bring you everything on cnbc.com. >>> meantime, the president's going to give his annual state of the union address tonight, marking his second opportunity in less than a month to set his agenda for the next term. >> how can
CNBC
Feb 27, 2013 9:00am EST
influence on what happens here in the u.s. markets. >> there's been that linkage trade that people love to do. the euro gets -- the euro gets weak, but sell everything. i think that the problem, i'm being a little hyperbolic, but let's just face it, that doesn't work as well as when our country, the domestic consumer is not doing well. >> there is the opening bell. and the s&p at the top of your screen. at big board, wall street rocks, nonprofit supporting war heroes and first responders, over at the nasdaq, a provider of cloud and marketing software. we've been over target -- the retail action continues. i wonder if you step in front of the names that are going to be reporting after the beg tonight. >> you know, jcpenney, i think it's an aberration. macy's and sachs, these companies are still not growing. they keep talking about their online business being incredibly strong. they had sandy. people were shut in. did a lot of business online. the overall tone of all these, with the exception of auto zone, who says the last two weeks of the quarter were hurt by delayed federal tax refunds
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 5:00pm EST
that with the pain at the pump, and not a pretty picture for the u.s. consumer at this point. >> i'm not going to go the consumer route. we've been talking about the refiner trades. look at psx. in the 40s, we said it is probably going to trade its name sake, 66, and here we are north of 65. they don't seem to want to stop right now. >> i think, last time oil was at $100, i thought we hit $4 a gallon already, i can't understand, one of you guys knows the answer, why is it that gas, maybe the premise is wrong, but why is it that gas seems cheaper now with $100 oil? >> less taxes -- there's a spread, capacity inputs. not as simple as -- >> if you had the same inf infrastructure -- >> not all runs, you know, at capacity, at the same time. >> there's been a lot of shutdowns and the refining capacity is exactly what the difference is. the trade that i just want to point out that you should never be making here is the ung. if you look at the year of year basis, nat gas is up, ung is down. these things are supposed to be tethered. be really careful. names like apache, these are guys that are in the space,
CNBC
Feb 4, 2013 12:00pm EST
and there is a debate about what fiscal cliff will mean for the u.s. or wasn't going to mean for the u.s., then you have the fed come out in december and say they would buy $45 million in treasuries out again and gold price came down $150 bucks. >> tom, thanks so much. we will do final trades after this short break. [ indistinct shouting ] ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] time and sales data. split-second stats. [ indistinct shouting ] ♪ it's so close to the options floor... [ indistinct shouting, bell dinging ] ...you'll bust your brain box. ♪ all on thinkorswim from td ameritrade. ♪ we all work remotely so this is a big deal, our first full team gathering! i wanted to call on a few people. ashley, ashley marshall... here. since we're often all on the move, ashley suggested we use fedex office to hold packages for us. great job. [ applause ] thank you. and on a protocol note, i'd like to talk to tim hill about his tendency to use all caps in emails. [ shouting ] oh i'm sorry guys. ah sometimes the caps lock gets stuck on my keyboard. hey do you wanna get a drink later? [ male announ
CNBC
Feb 7, 2013 9:00am EST
to fail, the sequester and how he missed the crisis at citi. >>> is it time to say good-bye to the u.s. airways brands? a deal looks close for amr's american to take it over, become the number one brand. does consolidation mean airlines just got more attractive. >>> we start off with the retailers, january report card, macy's posting an 11.7% jump in same-store saturday and raising guidance. stellar results from some of the retailers. >> such a mixed picture. some guys -- kohl's, people decided their clearance is moving the stock up nicely. gap strong happens moved. consistently great job. people talking about urban outfitters doing a great job, doesn't seem like the stocks right now are moving the way you would think they would. i don't know how many people are counting on this particular month -- >> a short month, bleedover from the holidays. the rate of beats, 59% is the strongest since august, which was 86%, thanks to mkm partners. the number of them that have outpaced expectations is pretty big, relative to everything else. >> this is historically the one month i don't care about
CNBC
Feb 19, 2013 11:00pm EST
's incorrect. >> caller: no, obama likes solar for u.s. economic reconstruction, and energy holdings recently made the largest national investment in solar at $2 billion. are sety and sbwr good to buy? >> sbwr i'm not that crazy about. solar city i have to do work on. you know, it was my birthday recently. my kids said happy birthday, you got to get a solar panel. it's like solar city, like circuit -- i don't want to do that, but how about party city? that's not there, either. but i will tell you that i think the solar city is on to something. if you can get money to put a solar panel on and cut my electric bill, you would be plenty happy. matt in texas, matt? >> hi, jim. boo-yah from austin. >> man, austin, we had such a great time when we were in austin, at u.t. it was fantastic. what's up? >> caller: hey, i'm a longtime shareholder of unh. despite, due to medicare, is a small book of business, which is down over 6%. do you think you have growth strategy, and in particular international expansion or enough to offset obamacare? >> no, no, these stocks open down and down big. you get this med
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